About the authorPaul VegasShare the loveHave your say Aston Villa boss Smith confident Grealish will find formby Paul Vegasa month agoSend to a friendShare the loveAston Villa manager Dean Smith has backed Jack Grealish to find some form.The midfielder and Villa captain has struggled to play at his highest level so far this season.”There will be more to come from Jack. He wants to get better. You end up sometimes dragging him off the training ground because he wants to get better. It’s a massive plus in his favour,” he said.”Jack’s a football person. He will train all day and go and find a room somewhere and fall asleep. Then he’ll wake up and go and do a gym session, that’s how he is.”He’s that sort of character – I’m surprised his girlfriend is still with him! He’ll go back home and he’ll be watching football as well. He’s a football nut.”Jack and John McGinn were probably our most influential players last season and to expect them to be as influential in the Premier League is asking a little bit too much straightaway. But they are getting better and better, that’s for sure.”What we want Jack to do is to be running at opposition players and hurting them like he did against Crystal Palace.”
New Delhi: Rising domestic rice prices have affected exports this year with shipment of the non-Basmati variety falling about 37 per cent or 10 lakh tonnes, over the previous year. Though Basmati rice exports have also declined 1.5 per cent, but experts don’t suggest price as reason behind it. Arvind Kumar Gupta, Director of the Basmati Export Development Institution that comes under the Agricultural and Processed Food Products Export Development Authority (APEDA), told IANS, “Prices of non-Basmati rice are high in the country, which has affected its demand overseas. Exports have declined in the first four months of this financial year (FY20) against the corresponding period of FY19”. Also Read – Thermal coal import may surpass 200 MT this fiscal According to APEDA data, 17,06,891 tonnes of non-Basmati rice were exported in April-July of FY20 against 26,94,827 tonnes in the same period of FY19. The non-Basmati rice exports have declined around 9.88 lakh tonnes or 36.66 per cent. In value terms, it has declined by 36.30 per cent to Rs 48.16 crore over the smape period of FY19. Similarly, Basmati rice exports have declined by 1.42 lakh tonnes to 14.35 lakh tonnes between April and July against the year-ago period. Also Read – Food grain output seen at 140.57 mt in current fiscal on monsoon boost Vijay Setia, Chairman, All India Rice Exporters Association, said due to the high prices of non-Basmati rice its demand had soften in the foreign market. “The paddy is sold on the minimum support price (MSP) decided by the government, which pushes rates compared with other competitive countries”. Rise in local production in the importing countries is also the reason behind the falling demand. For instance, demand in Bangladesh has come down because of domestic production, said Setia. India is world’s top rice exporter, followed by Thailand and Vietnam. Pakistan also exports rice. “Countries, like Bangladesh, have to pay less shipping charges when they import rice from India. Therefore, high-prices don’t cost them much. But in the far away African countries, the situation is different. They purchase it from where they find it cheaper,” Gupta told IANS. There is a price difference of around $30 per tonne of non-Basmati rice between India and other nations. It meant that the domestic price was $30 per tonne higher, said Gupta.
Pier 1 Imports says its closing six of its stores in Canada.The company announced in April that it would close up to 25 North American stores during its 2019 financial year.The closures will allow the company to dedicate more resources to driving sales growth.Pier 1 Imports says six of the initial closures are in Canada, where the company has more than 65 locations, and will be effective August 4.It did not respond to questions about where the stores are located or how many employees will lose their jobs.Pier 1 Imports says employees who stay with the company through the closures will receive a retention bonus or severance based on years of service.
Darjeeling: The coalition of regional parties in Darjeeling Hills and the exercise to field a consensus candidate fizzled out with the constituents deciding to go their own ways. Even Congress and Left Front have fielded their own candidates.The Gorkha National Liberation Front (GNLF) has decided to form an alliance with the Bimal Gurung faction of the Gorkha Janmukti Morcha. The coalition will be supporting the BJP candidate from the Darjeeling constituency. Also Read – Bengal family worships Muslim girl as Goddess Durga in Kumari PujaInterestingly, the bigwigs of the Bimal Gurung faction of the GJM, namely Gurung and Roshan Giri, are absconding. In a joint press conference in Delhi on Monday, the GNLF-GJM (Bimal faction) pledged their support to the BJP. “This has been done in the greater interest of the Gorkhas and to defeat anti-Gorkha forces,” stated Niraj Zimba, spokesperson, GNLF. The coalition feels that the BJP alone can fulfill the aspiration of the Gorkhas. When questioned on the public demand for local candidates for the Darjeeling constituency, Binu Sundas of the GJM (Bimal faction) said: “We had thought of this but had to compromise.” The BJP has not yet announced the names of candidates. Also Read – Bengal civic volunteer dies in road mishap on national highwayWhen questioned on the GNLF-GJM (Bimal faction) coalition, Binay Tamang, president of the GJM said: “The GNLF does not have any base in the Hills. The leaders of the other party are absconding. How will the coalition matter?” Meanwhile Shanker Malakar, the sitting MLA of Matigara-Naxalbari, has been fielded by the Congress for the Darjeeling constituency. The name of Saman Pathak was declared by the Left Front on Tuesday as their candidate for Darjeeling.
Before any MLB playoff games were played, things were looking so good for Canada’s World Series hopes. (The country’s title drought in hockey gets all the attention, but no baseball champ has hailed from north of the border since 1993, either.) With odds of 19 percent, the Toronto Blue Jays had the best chance of winning the World Series of any team, according to our pre-playoffs MLB Elo ratings.Now? Not so much. The Blue Jays have lost the two first games to the Texas Rangers in their best-of-five American League Division Series. That’s changed their chance of winning it all — as well as everyone else’s.According to the latest Elo simulation of the rest of the playoffs — which includes the Rangers’ victory over Toronto on Friday afternoon but no subsequent results — the Blue Jays’ probability of breaking Canada’s winless streak is now just 5 percent: CHANCE THAT A TEAM WILL … Toronto Blue Jays15641001585 Los Angeles Dodgers1535100522411 New York Yankees15160000 TEAMELOMAKE LDSMAKE LCSMAKE WSWIN WS Kansas City Royals1538100331810 St. Louis Cardinals1549100502814 Texas Rangers1535100%85%43%22% New York Mets1523100482110 Pittsburgh Pirates15540000 Because they’re up 2-0 in their series versus Toronto, the Texas Rangers are now your World Series favorites, though that can and will change depending on what happens the rest of Friday. Houston Astros1528100673115 Chicago Cubs1558100502714
CHICAGO–In what was perhaps the most surprising outcome of the first day of the Big Ten tournament, No. 10 seed Nebraska upset the No. 7 seed, Purdue. After beating the Boilermakers, 57-55, Thursday evening, the Huskers will take on No. 2 seed Ohio State Friday at 6:30 p.m. Let’s take a closer look at OSU’s opponent in the quarterfinal round of the Big Ten tournament at the United Center in Chicago. Record: 15-17, 5-13 Big Ten Against OSU in the regular season: 0-2 The Buckeyes swept Nebraska in the regular season. OSU, led by junior forward Deshaun Thomas’ 22 points, handled the Cornhuskers, 70-44, on Jan. 2 in Columbus in the first conference game of the year. Junior guard Lenzelle Smith Jr. poured in 17 points while sophomore center Amir Williams took care of the paint on the defensive end with four blocks. The Buckeyes’ 26-point margin of victory is tied for the largest of their conference season with a Feb. 20 blowout of Minnesota. The Buckeyes came out of the gates in their second outing against Nebraska of the season on Feb. 2 similarly to the way they had in their first meeting. OSU jumped out to a 11-point lead in Lincoln, Neb.-sparked by the outside shooting of Thomas and sophomore forward LaQuinton Ross-but Nebraska rallied. The Huskers cut the deficit to nine points by halftime and to five with 2:40 remaining in the second half due to a 15-5 run. OSU tightened up its perimeter defense, and escaped the Devaney Center with a 63-56 victory. Matchup to watch: OSU junior guard Aaron Craft vs. Nebraska junior guard Ray Gallegos. In two games against OSU in the regular season, the sharp-shooting Gallegos was bottled up by the Buckeyes’ floor leader. Craft held Gallegos to a combined 8-for-32 from the field, well below his near-37 percent shooting percentage. If Nebraska is going to upset the Buckeyes Friday night, Gallegos will have to be much better than his regular season showing against OSU’s premier defender. Gallegos, who averages 12.8 points on the season, had a cold shooting night in the Huskers win against Purdue, scoring nine points on 11 shots. Nebraska coach Tim Miles on the upcoming game: “Our guys will be ready to go. I think they will be locked in and their hearts are fresher than their legs, but I think that’s going to be all right,” Miles said after the game Thursday. “We’ll just play a low possession game and see what happens.”
As the mercury continued to soar high, Dilli Haat had one ready solution to beat it all. The Sharbat Mela took over the Capital through the 30 May to 1 June weekend as Delhi Tourism opened up stalls at INA Dilli Haat to treat the citizens. The venue witnessed hundreds of visitors walking in to enjoy the drinks on offer and of course the food stalls, that make Dilli Haat a one-stop destination for the Capital’s foodies, had the perfect dishes to accompany the cooling offerings. Also Read – ‘Playing Jojo was emotionally exhausting’The idea behind organising this mela is to provide Delhiites with a cool, natural escape from the heat. There were a variety of traditional drinks and flavors available at the mela such as thandai, sattu, kokam panna, lassi, jaljeera, chuski, faluda kulfi, lemon, kevda, rose, sandal, mint as well as modern drinks such as mango shake. There are more than 40 different kinds of drinks to treat the visitors and make them forget for a while that it was summer. Also Read – Leslie doing new comedy special with NetflixThis year’s special attraction of Sharbat Mela is the organic squashes and juices from Navdanya and Yamu’s Panchayat. There were also drinks made of Ladakh Himalayan Berries, Sea Buckthorn and Rhododendron juice. These juices are refreshing as well as very healthy. Fruits and plant juices organically grown like Mango, Ginger, Litchi, Pudina Squash were also available at the Sharbat Mela. Apart from enjoying the variety of drinks on offer, various folk dances and cultural programmes were also being organised to keep the crowd entertained as they sipped their drinks and enjoyed the food. There were folk dance performances by Sahitya Kala Parishad every evening during the event. With the advent of Sharbat Mela, the visitors were able to taste some of the most exquisite drinks and soothe themselves. The heat wave took a breather as Delhiites cooled off at Dilli Haat. And now we cannot wait for next year!
In an unprecedented development, Mamata Banerjee’s Trinamool Congress has bagged 34% seats in yet-to-be conducted Panchayat Polls. There will be no polling in 20,076 seats of the total 58,692 seats in the forthcoming three-tier Panchayat polls in West Bengal because the ruling Trinamool Congress has won at about one-third seats uncontested.
Thanks to global warming; your morning cup of coffee could be a lot more pricey in the years to come. Researchers have estimated that climate change could reduce coffee growing areas in Latin America – the world’s largest coffee-producing region – by as much as 88 per cent by 2050. The study published in the journal Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS) offers climate change’s projected impacts on coffee, and the bees that help coffee to grow. “Coffee is one of the most valuable commodities on earth, and needs a suitable climate and pollinating bees to be produce well,” said study co-author Taylor Ricketts, Professor at University of Vermont in the US.”This is the first study to show how both will likely change under global warming – in ways that will hit coffee producers hard,” Ricketts said. While other research has explored climate – coffee scenarios, no other study has explored the coupled effects of climate change on coffee and bees at the national or continental scale. The study was conducted with advanced modeling, spatial analysis and field data. It forecasts much greater losses of coffee regions than previous global assessments, with the largest declines projected in Nicaragua, Honduras and Venezuela. The scientists projected a slight increase in coffee suitability in Mexico, Colombia and, mainly in mountainous areas.
Travelweek Group Posted by Tags: Holiday, Vacation Where’s the space? Time is running out for late December bookings This story originally ran in the Dec 6, 2018 issue of Travelweek magazine. To get Travelweek delivered to your agency for free, subscribe here.TORONTO — A quick check with several of the major ITC tour operators confirms that space is getting tight for the ever-popular Christmas break, but there are still good pockets of availability in several top sun destinations.Agents making all of these bookings might be ready for a break themselves, especially if they’re in Atlantic Canada, where a recent winter storm left 300,000 without electricity. Add to that the extended cold snap in the western Prairies and an early taste of winter weather in Ontario and Quebec complete with grey skies, wind chill and snow, and most Canadians are already weary of winter, and it hasn’t even officially started it.The long-range outlook for the 2018-2019 winter season across Canada divides the country into thirds: above-average temperatures for Alberta and B.C., normal temps for Saskatchewan, Manitoba and northwestern Ontario, and – sorry – below-average temps for southwestern Ontario, Quebec and Atlantic Canada.Meanwhile the short-range outlook, for last-minute late December winter Sun bookings at least, is hot and getting hotter. “The availability for popular dates and hotels is starting to be limited,” says Air Canada Vacations spokesperson Barbara Mengue Mbo. “In destinations like Saint Lucia, Antigua, Grenada, Jamaica, Cancun, Punta Cana, Puerto Vallarta, inventories are getting tight. We recommend not to wait and book now before it is gone.”There are still good rates and availability for Cuba destinations in late December, she adds, for any clients looking for deep pockets of inventory where they can expect a good choice of room categories.Clients planning the ‘perfect’ holiday season getaway often have high expectations but as agents know, the later they book, the narrower the options get. Transat spokesperson Debbie Cabana says for last-minute getaways, clients “need to be flexible on mostly everything: arrival and departure dates, hotel and destination.”She adds: “What we always recommend for the peak periods of the year, like the Christmas break, is that clients who have a very specific idea of where they want to go should book quickly, because it’s a very popular period for South getaways, specifically around the New Year. And because of the great demand, hotel prices are usually at their highest during that time, so the whole idea of last-minute getaways can sometimes be tricky.”Transat’s daily flights to Punta Cana make for a lot of choice and flexibility in one of the D.R.’s most popular destinations. Cabana also notes that Cuba “is making a strong comeback after a more difficult season last year due to hurricanes”, and is always a great choice. “Finally, travellers shouldn’t forget about South and Central America, which are a favourite among our clients visiting friends and families. These destinations, which are getting more and more popular, are often great options to escape, because they’re a little further down South. This almost guarantees very warm weather during the Christmas break.”Bookings have been getting closer and closer in over the years, not just for the holidays but year-round, even with all the EBBs out there to incentive earlier bookings. The growing popularity of Black Friday promotions in Canada gave bookings for this winter and further out a much-needed kick start. Air Canada Vacations saw its highest-ever one-day sales volume on Nov. 23 – Black Friday – with a 300%+ increase over a typical day. Black Friday 2018 represented the highest single-day sales in the company’s 38-year history. Bookings came in for everything from beach destinations in the Caribbean and Mexico, to city breaks in Canada, the U.S. and Europe.Meanwhile Sunwing is expanding its flight network to keep up with demand from southwestern Ontario, with the launch of new service from Detroit, Michigan for the first time ever.Starting Jan. 20, 2019 and running until April 22, 2019 inclusive from Detroit Metropolitan Airport, the new flights will operate on Sundays to Punta Cana, and twice-weekly on Mondays and Fridays to Montego Bay. Travellers can book select vacation packages to both Sun destinations.“We are excited to be offering Canadians more convenient ways to travel south this winter with the addition of the new departure airport in Detroit, Michigan. This route is a great addition to the current weekly flight service out of London and Windsor and offers travellers in Southwestern Ontario a wider selection of vacation options,” says Andrew Dawson, President of Tour Operations for Sunwing Travel Group. For agents looking for space for clients for late December getaways, Sunwing is recommending both Punta Cana and Cancun. Suggested resorts include Royalton Riviera Cancun Resort and Spa, Royalton Blue Waters in Jamaica, Royalton White Sands Montego Bay, Royalton Negril Resort and Spa and Grand Memories Splash in the D.R. Wednesday, December 12, 2018 Share << Previous PostNext Post >>
The CSA’s Michel Boyon & Aurélie FilippettiFrance’s six new HD DTT channels – HD1, L’Equipe 21, 6ter, Numéro 23, RMC Découverte and Chérie 25 – have gone on air.French media regulator the CSA launched the channels at an event yesterday in the presence of the country’s culture minister Aurélie Filippetti.The channels are currently available to about half of France’s households in total, according to the regulator, including 29% of DTT households. On DTT the channel is available in the Ile de France, Bourgogne, Aquitaine and Provence-Alpes-Côte d’Azur regions, with a further 1,500 transmitters sett to distribute them in 12 phases between now and June 2015, ultimately giving 97% terrestrial coverage.In addition to the terrestrial network, the channels are available via satellite, ADSL and cable.
The BBC is gearing up for “the most digital Glastonbury ever,” with live multi-feed coverage, similar to that seen at the Olympics, planned for the iconic music festival. The BBC said it will air more than 120 live performances over the three days of this summer’s festival on TV, red button, online and radio and will live-stream footage from the six main stages for the first time.The cross-platform online coverage will give viewers access to 250 hours of live coverage on PC, mobile, tablet and connected TV – including smart TVs and games consoles. The festival will also feature on TV channels BBC One, BBC Two, BBC Three and BBC Four.Mark Friend, BBC Controller, multiplatform across radio and music, said: “Just as we did with sport at the Olympics, our ambition this year is to bring our audiences even closer to the music they love at Glastonbury.”Additionally, the BBC’s commercial arm, BBC Worldwide, will broadcast the festival on its bouquet of international channels around the world. A six-hour live broadcast of the iconic festival will run on its final day, Sunday, June 30.The live stream and a 1x90mins highlight package will be carried on the BBC Entertainment channel in Asia, Latin America, Poland, Nordics and South Africa.It will also be on the BBC Knowledge channel in parts of Asia and BBC HD in the EMEA region and Latin America.In Australia and New Zealand the music festival content will be carried on UKTV.Tracy Forsyth, VP commissioning, content, BBC Worldwide, ordered the festival coverage for the international channels.She said: “The scale and quality of Glastonbury and its consistently stellar line-up of music acts have given it a well-earned reputation as one of the world’s not-to-be-missed events, so we are excited to be bringing our viewers closer than ever before.”The Glastonbury 2013 highlights and live coverage will be produced by BBC Music Television and Glastonbury Festivals Limited.
Today we have the great pleasure to introduce you to James Turk, a well-known investment guru, international investor, and co-founder of the increasingly popular GoldMoney.com.In this interview, James will talk about:His past and the lessons of relevance to all those who want to live an international life.Current trends and what people can do to protect themselves during these volatile times.His GoldMoney service, one which we receive quite a few questions about here at International Man every month.So, without further ado, let’s begin…International Man: For those who aren’t familiar with you or your work, can you tell us a bit about yourself?James Turk: I have over 40 years of experience in international banking, finance and investments. I began my career with Chase Manhattan Bank, now JPMorgan Chase, which is one of the big New York banks. I then worked with one of the world’s top commodity traders, before moving to Abu Dhabi where I managed the commodity department for its sovereign wealth fund. It was one of the seven countries in which I have lived, but I now live in Europe.I have written extensively over the last 25 years about money and investments. Many of my articles are posted on the Internet, but I am particularly proud of a book I co-authored with my friend, John Rubino, The Collapse of the Dollar and How to Profit from It. It was first published in 2004 and correctly laid out the reason for owning gold and why banks and other financial companies like Fannie Mae were heading for trouble. We also explained why the bubble then prevailing in the housing market was ready to burst.In the late 1990s I formed GoldMoney with my oldest son, Geoffrey, who is now its CEO. Since its launch in 2001 GoldMoney has become a leading provider for buying gold, silver, platinum and palladium online to buyers worldwide. It is presently storing in vaults in London, Zurich and Hong Kong over US$2.2 billion of precious metals owned by customers located in more than 100 countries.Lastly, I am also a director of the GoldMoney Foundation, a not-for-profit educational organization dedicated to providing information on the role of gold and silver as money and currency and their importance to society. I am a firm believer that gold’s use as money is inextricably interlinked with human liberty. The Foundation promulgates this key point through published material, videos and conferences.IM: When did you personally start living and investing overseas?JT: I always wanted to live abroad and travel, which is one reason I joined Chase. They promised an overseas assignment when I completed my training program in New York City, and in 1971 I moved to Thailand. I spent most of that decade living and working in Asia. It was a great experience and provided a strong base on which to build my business career.It was the early 1970s when I first began international investing for my personal portfolio. I don’t remember the year, but I remember the event well. I tried to invest in a fund managed by Robeco, a big Dutch asset management company. They didn’t accept my application because I used my US address, and the fund was not registered with the SEC.That irritated me, being self-reliant and believing that I did not need any government agency watching over my shoulder when I made an investment. It also made clear to me the nanny-state environment in which we lived back then, which in my view has become even more onerous and oppressive today. But that event from 40 years ago had a useful outcome. It set me on a path to learn the ins-and-outs of international investing and the arcane rules governments imposed.IM: What motivated you to look outside your home country for fortune and opportunity in the first place?JT: Though I was born and raised in the States, I had an international perspective as long as I can remember, probably because my father was born in Europe. As Shakespeare so wisely advised, the “world is your oyster”. In this regard, I have always believed that you can do or achieve anything you want in life. It just takes planning and a lot of hard work.Everyone has the freedom to do so, but not everyone has the same motivations. Nor does everyone have the goal to view the whole world as an opportunity to improve their situation in life and to make sure their children have a better standard of living than they did as children. This objective was important to my parents. So maybe I learned it from them, but then again, maybe it is just human nature because I have seen that motivation time and again in many countries and many different cultures.IM: What steps have you taken personally to plant flags overseas?JT: There are many. I live in Europe and have travelled to over 50 countries. The company I founded is European-based, but has a global customer base. My wife and youngest son are British. I could go on, but those are the ones that immediately come to mind.IM: In a previous conversation, it was mentioned to me that Doug Casey’s book, The International Man, was an important influence on your way of thinking. Can you elaborate on that?JT: Yes, it was one of the sources of good information that I read back in the 1970s. There was not a lot of material back then on how to internationalize your life, which was my objective. So I bought a copy and learned a lot from it. There are two ways to gain useful experience – “reading” and “doing”. Both are invaluable.TrendsIM: In a recent article, you mention the “Last Plane Account“, which basically suggested setting up structures overseas so that if all domestic assets were seized, one would have a nest-egg available to still live a comfortable life. When did you first realize such a plan was needed for US citizens?JT: The name “last plane account” was an informal one that we used in Chase to refer to a marketing program that explained the necessity for southeast Asian businessmen to have bank deposits outside their home countries. The idea was that if turmoil wracked the country where you lived, you and your family could get on the “last plane” and live somewhere else in the same manner to which you were accustomed, even if you needed to leave behind many assets – like a house and your company’s factory.Remember, the domino theory still prevailed back in the 1970s, and everyone wondered and worried about what country in that part of the world would be the next to fall to communism. If it did, you clearly would want some of your wealth invested globally so that you and your family could live comfortably if forced to flee your home country, or just because you simply chose to do so. The idea was that you could then return to your home country once a sane political climate was restored with a rule of law that protected property rights.At first I didn’t realize that everyone needs a “last plane account” – even Americans. But my thinking began to change not long after moving to Thailand. I became friends with a wealthy Thai businessman whose family lost a fortune in real estate when the Chinese Red Army under Mao took control of that country. They left China only with their suitcases, which fortunately for them carried some gold and jade. After fleeing China, they settled in Thailand and through hard work re-built their fortune with the capital they were able to bring with them. It was actually a story that I eventually heard many times over the years I was in Asia.Then in late 1974, I agreed to move to Beirut, Lebanon, which back then was a plum assignment in the bank. However, the civil war there began before I could pack my bags, and because I had a family, the assignment was cancelled with mutual consent. It was a wake-up call for me. Like the experience related to me by my Chinese friend, it opened my eyes, and I began to really recognize that there are a lot of unsafe places in the world. More to the point, over the years I’ve seen dozens of countries change from good to bad, while some changed from bad to good.Sometimes the change occurs rapidly, as it did in Lebanon. Sometimes the change occurs slowly, which is what happens in most countries. The change can be so slow as to be imperceptible to most people living there, which is one of the reasons I recommend that people live for a time in different countries. It gives you a different perspective.When I look at the States, Thailand and the other countries where I have lived, from outside, I see things that I missed when I lived there. I think this perspective is important to understand that we live in a world that is constantly changing. So regardless of which country you were born, I recommend that everyone travel and live abroad, at least for a time, to gain some useful and unique experiences. When you do, I think you will better understand the reasons for a “last plane account” and appreciate the need to prepare for an uncertain future.IM: Can you tell us what such an account would consist of?JT: Clearly, I would not recommend today what we at Chase were offering back then, namely, bank deposits. These do not make sense in today’s topsy-turvy world.I would put into the account the same thing that you would put in any portfolio. There would be undervalued assets as well as safe assets in a mix that would enable you to sleep well at night knowing you were prepared to live comfortably somewhere in the world if you left your home country.The safe assets would of course be gold and a home for shelter. The undervalued assets would primarily be stocks, particularly a globally diversified portfolio and one that paid reasonable dividends to provide income. I don’t recommend commercial real estate, but other real estate – like an apartment building, farmland or timberland – could also be a safe asset in the right jurisdiction.Remember though, there is a fundamental difference between visible wealth and wealth that cannot easily be seen. Visible wealth is always a potential target for governments around the world looking for assets to tax or even confiscate, and one must factor in that risk. In fact, this risk is one of the reasons for diversifying globally. Diversification always mitigates risk.IM: With all this money printing in the world do you see hyperinflation in the US dollar and hence the world?JT: Sadly, yes, I do expect hyperinflation, and we are getting very close. Hyperinflation manifests itself in two ways, depending on the nature of the currency. In Weimar Germany in the 1920s and Zimbabwe more recently, very few people had bank accounts. Nearly all commerce was conducted with cash-currency. In contrast, in Argentina in 1991 nearly everyone had a bank account, with the result that nearly all commerce was conducted with deposit-currency. In other words, payment for goods and services was conducted through the banking system with checks, wire transfers, plastic cards and the like. All three countries experienced hyperinflation, which always has the same cause, regardless how it manifests itself. It boils down to a simple chain of events.A government spends too much, forcing it to borrow. Because governments have difficulties cutting back on spending when they have unlimited access to their central bank and no external discipline or constraints imposed on politicians’ aspirations to spend, eventually these borrowings become bigger than the market has the capacity or willingness to lend. The central bank then steps in to create the currency the government wants to spend, whether it is running a printing press in Zimbabwe or the computer in Argentina.Both examples are generally referred to as “printing money”, but now it is usually called “quantitative easing”. Maybe governments think that by giving it a name change, the process somehow becomes acceptable. Call it what you will, but it is the same thing and if not stopped, inevitably leads to hyperinflation. Given that the president and Congress don’t seem willing to change direction, and given their plans for more spending and more deficits, the US dollar is clearly on the path toward hyperinflation.IM: If so, what will the end of the US Dollar look like for the man on the street?JT: It will look like the Continental, America’s first currency, or the currencies of dozens of other countries that followed the same path. The dollar will be worth nothing. This outcome is particularly tragic because we failed to learn from the framers of the American Constitution. One of the reasons they aimed to create “a more perfect Union” was because of the economic hardships and dislocations caused by the collapse of the Continental. They purposefully created with the Constitution a common market and common currency. Their intent was made clear by one of the first acts of the new Congress, The Coinage Act, which George Washington signed into law in 1792. It was the law of the land until being ignored in the 20th century by politicians wanting to expand the scope of the federal government. To achieve that aim, they needed to spend money. But they could not do that with the dollar being tied to gold and silver.Precious metals cannot be created “out of thin air”, so they provide the necessary discipline on government spending. The US, and indeed, the entire world has abandoned that discipline and money is now created capriciously by central bankers.IM: For those who have followed the gold and silver commentaries for the last number of years, they will already know that you are exceptionally bullish on precious metals right now. However, in your mind, could something happen where the trend towards higher prices stalls for a while or potentially even reverses?JT: I assume you are asking about a major price reversal, and not just some temporary setback. In my view, only one thing would cause that. There would have to be a massive reduction in the quantity of dollars, and I don’t see any prospect for that. The Federal Reserve doesn’t seem intent on doing that given it has said it is committed to preventing deflation.Of course, at any moment in time the price of gold or silver can have a setback. That is the nature of bull markets. But don’t let these periodic corrections shake you out of the market. The key to successful investing is to accumulate assets when they are undervalued, and continue to hold them through periodic corrections. Only sell them when they become overvalued. It sounds easy, but can be hard to do in practice because people often get emotionally attached to assets, be it a house, a stock or gold.To eliminate the emotion, I always rely upon objective measures of value. Two that I use most frequently for gold and often write about are my Fear Index and my Gold Money Index. Both of these indicate that gold remains undervalued. But aside from these objective measures, I think there is also a good anecdotal one. I expect all fiat currencies to collapse. Consequently, you will not sell your gold when it becomes overvalued; you will spend it. In other words, gold will once again become currency, which is one of the goals we are working toward at GoldMoney. At that future time when gold becomes overvalued, you will take the gold you are now accumulating and spend it to invest in assets that are undervalued or spend it buying consumer goods. We are still far away from that moment.IM: What are your thoughts on possible confiscation from government or forced buy back of gold from its citizens, and is there some safety by owning precious metals with a service like GoldMoney?JT: The future of course cannot be predicted, but we nevertheless know that respect for private property is declining in many parts of the world. In the 20th century gold was confiscated by Lenin in Russia, Hitler in Germany, Mussolini in Italy and Franklin Roosevelt in the US. So don’t assume that confiscations can’t happen in the 21st century. I always say to prepare for the worst, while hoping for the best. In this way you will still get by, even if by an unfortunate turn of events the worst possible outcome happens.Because the future is unknowable, it is impossible to determine the perfect strategy to take advantage of future events. The best we can do is to protect ourselves from wealth destroying future events, like confiscation. I believe the best way to do that is through diversification. In other words, don’t put all your eggs in one basket, and GoldMoney can be helpful in diversifying your precious metals.When you buy physical gold and silver – and I only recommend physical metal, not any of the paper products purporting to offer physical metal – there are only two ways to do it. Buy it and store it yourself, or buy it and have someone store it for you, which is what GoldMoney offers.Each alternative has advantages and disadvantages. If you store gold yourself, you have it at hand, but run the risk of theft. Also, if you need to sell, it can be a bother to take your coins or bars to a dealer, who may then require them to be refined, which adds cost.With GoldMoney, you do not have your gold at hand, but it is stored for you in specialized vaults in London, Zurich and/or Hong Kong at your choice and is insured. You also have nearly instant liquidity. You can easily sell your metal back to GoldMoney. The proceeds are immediately wired to your bank account, which, depending on the time zone in which you live, may mean you receive the proceeds the same day. It is also convenient because all transactions are done online 24/7.GoldMoney BasicsInternational Man: You’ve referenced it a few times already, but, for those of our readers not yet familiar with GoldMoney.com, can you give us a really brief overview? James Turk: GoldMoney allows customers in 105 different countries to buy gold, silver, platinum and palladium online, and store these metals at secure vaults in London, Zurich and Hong Kong. Customers can conduct transactions in nine major currencies and also take physical delivery of their gold in the form of 100 gram and 1kg gold bars. Our governance procedures and regular audits provide assurances of integrity to our customers that their precious metals are being stored safely with us. IM: What prompted you to start GoldMoney in the first place? JT: The idea for GoldMoney came to me in 1979. I had been reading extensively, including many great works like Howard Buffett’s brilliant 1948 speech and dozens of books on money, particularly those of Ludwig von Mises and the Austrian school of economics. I re-read Atlas Shrugged and some of Ayn Rand’s other works. Another influential book from back then that comes to mind is The Market for Liberty. From these and other works I began to understand the importance of re-establishing gold’s role as currency. It was clear to me that human liberty and gold were inextricably interlinked because gold money controls government spending. When this spending has limits, so do government depredations. I wanted to live in a world where property rights were respected and the rule of law was followed, and naturally assumed other people shared that same aim, which meant that my idea for creating a technologically advanced gold money offered a profit opportunity. Of course the technology to make my vision possible was not available back then, nor did I think the technology would become available in my lifetime. Fortunately, the rapid advances in communications and computers over the next twenty years eventually made GoldMoney possible. My son and I formed GoldMoney in the late 1990s, which we launched in early 2001. I have not lost sight of my original vision and the important outcome that can be achieved by enabling gold to circulate once again as currency. IM: What makes GoldMoney different from some of the other options out there? JT: Buying allocated physical bullion, as facilitated by GoldMoney, guarantees you hold and own the metal in your name. Our stringent governance procedures and regular audits provide our customers with assurances that their metals are safe and that they are the undisputed owners. The freedom and ease of accessing the global precious metals markets online, 24 hours a day, and the variety of metals, storage facilities and accepted currencies offer a high level of comfort and diversification. This makes GoldMoney a uniquely secure and convenient precious metals provider. IM: Can you briefly take us through the process of signing up for an account? JT: People with residency in the US, Canada and 42 other countries are eligible for fast tracking – meaning they can sign up for what we call a Basic Holding quickly and easily online by clicking on the “Free Sign Up” button on our website GoldMoney.com. The entire process takes only a few minutes and customers can start funding their Holding in order to purchase metals immediately. Customers can upgrade to a Full Holding free of charge at any time. IM: In your mind, what is the single greatest reason someone signs up for a GoldMoney account – for speculating on the price of the metal, for savings, as a way to internationalize, something else? JT: People may of course have different reasons for opening a Holding. But I always say that precious metals should be thought of as your savings rather than as something that you “invest” in or speculate on. After all, an ounce of gold today is exactly the same as an ounce of gold 50 years ago. Like a quart, ton or meter, it is a consistent measuring stick. What changes is the value of currency in relation to that ounce of gold. Over time, the purchasing power of gold is preserved – in contrast to fiat currencies, where your purchasing power declines. More and more people are realizing this, and come to the conclusion that it makes sense to hold gold and other precious metals rather than national currencies, particularly now because one hardly earns any interest income with today’s artificially low interest rates. As precious metals regain mass acceptance as a medium of exchange and store of value, those who have been steadily accumulating them will recognise the benefits.Gold Money ChallengesIM: What are the challenges with running a company like GoldMoney? JT: There are of course many, just like there are in any company. But as we face and overcome these challenges, we always have one objective in mind, which is to serve our customers’ best interests. One of the many things I learned from Von Mises is that the “Customer is King”, which is a guiding principle always foremost in our minds and actions. In short, companies are built by serving their customers’ best interests efficiently and continuously. IM: Over the past year, I’ve heard some of the announcements that GoldMoney has had to suspend or even shut down operations in various jurisdictions such as the Netherlands. Is this something you feel can be rectified so that you can enter such markets again? If so, how? JT: This is unique to the Netherlands, owing to the unusual burdens placed on us by the Dutch regulators, the Netherlands Authority for the Financial Markets (AFM). The AFM has the view that precious metals are included within the concept of “investment objects” which are to be regulated by the AFM. We are of the opinion that Netherlands’ regulation is not applicable to GoldMoney because we operate in Jersey, British Channel Islands, rather than within the Netherlands – but we have been unsuccessful in changing the AFM’s view. As we do not want to subject ourselves, and by extension our customers, to unnecessary and unpredictable regulatory requirements, we reached the difficult conclusion that the only way to resolve this situation was to cease all business with individuals resident in the Netherlands. We do have every intention of accepting business from Dutch residents again in the future should the regulatory environment there change. IM: I have an associate who has a GoldMoney account and his wife has another. For a while, he would regularly transfer goldgrams to her without issue. As of the beginning of the year, that particular function has been suspended. Can you tell us why that happened and whether that particular benefit of your service will be implemented again? JT: Our decision to turn off the facility to transfer metals between GoldMoney customers in all countries except Jersey is based on lack of customer demand and increasing regulatory burdens. It is our intention to offer this service again in the future, which will depend on customer feedback and regulatory changes. IM: If a company like GoldMoney can’t use gold as money because of legislative and regulatory burdens, what does this say about any other competing currency? JT: Governments today seem to think that they should enjoy monopoly control of money and currency, even though both are products of the market just like any other good or service. Consequently, all free-market currencies will have a difficult time in gaining a foothold against national currencies. But because national currencies are losing purchasing power rapidly, it is inevitable that gold will once again return to its traditional and rightful role at the center of global commerce. After all, gold has been money for 5000 years, and it still preserves purchasing power better than any national currency, which for 40 years now have been backed by nothing. But the growing financial and monetary problems today make clear that this 40-year experiment with fiat currency is going badly. This result is inevitable, as proven by the dozens of other attempts throughout history to make fiat currency work through central planning and control. Eventually gold returns to center stage as the dominant money and currency in global commerce, and I suspect that this time will be no different given that the future of fiat currency is looking increasingly doubtful.Protecting GoldMoney ClientsIM: What safeguards has GoldMoney established to ensure that the person who buys physical metal is protected if the business happens to fail? Would they lose their assets? JT: Although this is an extreme unlikely scenario, customers will receive their physical metal in any of the gold, silver, platinum and palladium bars we offer, provided they have a balance greater than one bar. This includes the London Good Delivery Bars, as well as the 100 gram and 1 kilogram gold bars. Alternatively, customers can receive the equivalent value of their metals in one of the 9 national currencies we offer. A court appointed liquidator would complete this winding-up process. IM: How does GoldMoney ensure that the goldgram amount is actually in the client’s account? Couldn’t it all be just a game of numbers? JT: The quantity of metals allocated to customers’ Holdings that is recorded in GoldMoney’s database is equal to the amount of metal that is being stored in the vaults at all times. This one-to-one ratio is always maintained and forms a key part of our governance model. 100% customer ownership is assured by top-quality independent third-party reports and audits from the vault operators, Inspectorate – a commodity testing and inspection firm – and by regular audits by a big-4 accounting firm. GoldMoney is simply a guardian of its customers’ assets. IM: When someone buys metal from GoldMoney, are they officially an owner of their holdings or simply another creditor to the company itself? JT: Customers who own precious metals with GoldMoney own it in the form of allocated physical metal. This means that they are direct owners of their metals, and that GoldMoney does not have any claim on its customers’ assets. Customers’ metals do not appear on GoldMoney’s balance sheet, meaning that our customers do not have any counterparty risk.Common QuestionsInternational Man: What are some of the more common reasons people say they don’t want to use GoldMoney? James Turk: Some people prefer to have their gold and silver in their hands. They want to be able to touch and feel it. Given all that’s gone in the financial world over the last few years, and with the MF Global debacle still fresh in people’s minds, this is understandable. But there are real risks to storing large quantities of metal at home. It is therefore natural that people would look to store their metal in other ways and other countries, and this is where GoldMoney can help. GoldMoney’s governance and audit procedures are rigorous and stringent and the Certificates & Reports are available for review on our website. With regards to storing metals at home or some other private location, GoldMoney can help customers by supplying physical metal, as we deliver 100-gram and 1-kilo gold bars produced by Baird & Co. of London to our customers’ home address. The main risk of storing metals at home is burglary, and liquidity and geographical diversification are limited. IM: What would you say to someone who would be a bit nervous buying “paper” / “promise to pay” gold through GoldMoney? JT: GoldMoney does not sell any “paper gold“. It only sells physical metal, which is always what I recommend owning. “Paper gold” offers exposure to the gold price, but that is all. The buyer does not own gold, but rather a claim to gold. Futures, options, ETFs and gold certificates are examples of paper-gold products, and they all have counterparty risk. None of these items give you the guaranteed 100% ownership of allocated gold that you have when transacting with GoldMoney. Because all customers’ metals within GoldMoney are stored in vaults, and because we deal exclusively in the physical bullion markets with a variety of dealers, there will always be bidders for customers who wish to sell, and sellers for those customers eager to buy. Bringing supply and demand into equilibrium is what the price discovery process is all about. Therefore, GoldMoney will always be able to honor your sell or buy order in a prompt manner.Logistical QuestionsIM: What are the options available to customers for taking delivery of their gold? JT: Customers can take physical delivery of their gold at any time in the form of 100 gram and 1 kilogram bars. These bars, which have a purity of 99.99%, are refined by Baird & Co. Ltd. in London and shipped to our customers’ home address by insured mail. The customer places the delivery order online through their Holding, and we will automatically process it. We can also arrange the delivery of 400oz Good Delivery Bars. If you wish to diversify your metals and move your metal balance in your Holding partly or entirely for storage in a different country, you also have the option to do that when logged into your Holding. IM: Where are the holdings stored? JT: Customers can store their gold and silver at VIA MAT vaults in London, Zurich and Hong Kong. You can also store gold and silver at a G4S vault in Hong Kong. Platinum is stored by VIA MAT in Zurich and Hong Kong, and the same company also stores palladium in Hong Kong. IM: Which are the most popular of these companies to store holdings? JT: The largest holdings are at VIA MATs gold and silver vaults in London and Zurich.MiscellaneousIM: Do you have any merchants that currently allow you to purchase items with GoldMoney? JT: Currently there are no merchants that accept GoldMoney because we have turned-off the payment capability to customers in all countries except Jersey, where we are based. IM: What is currently the breakdown among your client base in terms of allocations between gold, silver, platinum and palladium? What metal the most popular? JT: With the launch of GoldMoney in 2001 we offered gold only and introduced silver in 2006. Platinum followed in 2009 and Palladium in January 2011. Given gold’s long established bona fides as money, you probably won’t be surprised to learn that most of our customers’ metals in terms of US dollars are held in gold. However, silver is a close second to gold in terms of total USD value. Platinum and palladium holdings with us are smaller, though the popularity of these metals is likely to grow. The amount of metals and currencies held on behalf of our customers are disclosed in the monthly report on our website. IM: What is the average size of account in GoldMoney? JT: It has been growing since inception, and is presently $103,000. However, the median account size is only about $10,000. There is no minimum or maximum amount you can purchase and hold, so we have a wide range of customers from small to large. IM: For those who want to find out more, what’s the best way? JT: Our website www.goldmoney.com offers detailed information about our services and governance procedures. We also have a Research section that provides background information on the precious metal markets. The Frequently Asked Questions section offers guidance for new and prospective customers and our customer support team is always happy to answer any questions – by phone, email or through our secure internal message system. IM: Sir, it was a pleasure. Thank you.JT: Thank you for the opportunity to speak with you as well.[To interact with other international men and women all around the world, consider joining the International Man Network. It’s completely free to join, plus you’ll have access to a private forum of thousands of like-minded individuals who are sharing their “boots on the ground” tactics and experience on how to internationalize one’s life and wealth. Sign up here.]About the Author: Inspired by the work of best-selling author and renowned speculator Doug Casey, International Man is a global network of freedom-seekers, investors, adventurers, speculators and expatriates looking to live an international lifestyle – be it asset, income, personal diversification or any combination of the three. Learn more at www.internationalman.com.
In This Issue.*BLS reports 171,000 new jobs. *Bias to buy dollars intensifies. *RBA to announce a rate cut this afternoon. *Euro falls though 200-Day moving avg.And, Now, Today’s Pfennig For Your Thoughts!Who Is The BLS Attempting To Fool?Good day. And a Marvelous Monday to you! The last day before the Big Election Day here in the U.S. I hope you all enjoyed the Big Boss, Frank Trotter’s, analysis of the election, in the Sunday Pfennig & Pfriends. On top of all the other things that Frank does better than most people, he also writes! He will be able to fall back on that when he retires one day. And he’ll be better than anyone else doing it at that time!Now, you may think I’m just trying to build up some brownie points with the Big Boss. But I’ve told him this to his face for years now, and have invited him to participate in the Pfennig, whenever he feels like it. Besides, at my age, I’ve learned that those brownie points don’t really matter when the rubber meets the road!OK. On Friday, I told you that the bias to buy dollars was strong, and that traders were pricing in a disappointing Jobs Jamboree. However, a funny thing happened on the way to the forum. Instead of a disappointing Jobs number for October, the number was questionable once again. Yes, I’ll just throw that out there, and get it on the discussion board, Front & Center this morning. Oh! And traders changed horses in the middle of the stream, and decided that the number of jobs created was worth switching their reason to buy dollars.So. The Bureau of Labor Statistic (BLS) said that the economy added 171,000 jobs in October. Here’s what questionable. of the 171,000, 90,000 were added by the BLS for the birth/ death adjustment. Now, why do I say that 90,000 jobs added out of thin air, is questionable? Well, long time readers know that the Birth / Death Model, tries to account for new businesses that open up and aren’t online with reporting jobs yet. (they also are supposed to subtract for businesses that close). And just last week I reported to you that CEO’s had reported that they were laying off and firing large numbers of workers. So, if little old me came across that story, they had to have at least “heard about it” at the BLS, right? So, then, why would they add 90,000 jobs knowing all too well that more jobs are being lost right now?So, here’s how my mind works. 171,000 minus 90,000 and you get 81,000, which is much closer to the 111,000 I called for on Friday, and. would be considered disappointing, right? And then to just muddy up the picture even more. The BLS tells us 171,000 jobs were added but the Unemployment Rate increased to 7.9% from 7.8%… (remember last month, the BLS said we added 114,000 jobs and the unemployment rate fell from 8.1% to 7.8%?) is your mind spinning around and performing carnival tricks in an attempt to make sense of this Unemployment Rate? Mine is. and that’s why I say the BLS just throws a dart at numbers on the wall to get the rate!OK. if only I could hold to my thought from a month ago that I was not going to let any economic data report that printed before the election carry any weight. Unfortunately, the markets were all over this BLS Jobs data like a cheap suit. So. since I write about the markets, I have to spend time on this. I don’t buy the number. You can’t make me! HA!So. like I said above, currency and metals traders decided to change horses in the middle of the stream, and switched back to the trading pattern that rewards the dollar for strong U.S. economic data. I think that the overnight markets that were gone for the weekend when the Jobs number printed on Friday, saw this data last night when they returned to their desks, they laughed. The chuckled and probably fell out of their chairs. But, then, they pulled themselves back up, and decided to keep the bias to buy dollars in place.Then in the morning sessions of Europe, the traders there kept the bias to buy dollars in place. The euro has really taken it on the chin in the past week. And there really hasn’t been any news from the Eurozone to make the euro lose 2-cents in the past week. Greece’s Gov’t will present a new austerity package to the Greek Parliament today, with a vote announcement expected on Wednesday. I look for this new package to pass. Look, Greece really has no choice, except to drop out of the euro and default. So, the Greeks might not like being told that these austerity measures are coming, but there’s not much they can do about, except burn down the library.Tonight, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will meet. and even though I’ve been telling you how the aggressive calls to cut rates in 2013, have been getting pared back, that doesn’t change what the markets had already priced in. and that is one final cut for 2012. And I believe we’ll see that tonight. The markets are probably thinking the rate cut will come in December, as they are marking up the Aussie dollar (A$) (one of the few currencies in the black this morning) this morning. But. I believe it will come this afternoon. so look for that. but remember, this cut is already priced in. so the actual pain to the A$ will be muted. at least that’s my opinion, and I could be wrong.Well. I really don’t believe that much that happens today and tomorrow, data wise, is going to garner much attention, as all eyes are on the U.S. election tomorrow. I was watching some football yesterday, and the announcers for the Washington Redskins and Carolina Panthers game, said that since 1940, the outcome of the Redskins’ game prior to the election had been the indicator of who wins 17 of 18 times. So. if the Redskins won, the incumbent won, if the Redskins lost the challenger won. Well. if that means anything to you. the Redskins lost yesterday.Funny little indicators always intrigue me, I have no idea why. I guess it plays well with my loving a good conspiracy theory! I just know that I’ll be so happy to not see election ads on the TV going forward.So, I already told you about the RBA meeting tonight, but that’s not all for this week! We’ll also see the Central banks of the Eurozone (ECB) and the U.K. (BOE) meet this week. I really don’t believe the ECB will have any rabbits up their sleeve, but the BOE could very well, add to their current total of Quantitative Easing (QE). The outcomes for the euro and the pound sterling won’t be driven by the Central Bank meetings this week though. But there’s always that “chance”, eh?I’ve watched the price of Gold go from down $1 to up $2.75 this morning, not much movement, not like the further taking down of the shiny metal last week. Did you see the story that appeared late last week that Gold is in short supply in Nepal, and that bullion traders had stopped sales of Gold bars and coins due to a failure by the commercial banks to deliver supply. Hmmm. and price of Gold fell? Supply & demand. What don’t the price manipulators understand? This is a crying shame that this gets to continue on and on and on, like the Energizer Bunny.The price of Gold is still above the 200-day moving avg, so the shiny metal has that going for it! But, you have to wonder if the price manipulators (PM’s) have the goal of taking down the price of Gold below that 200-day moving avg? Hey! If you’re not going to get your wrists slapped for doing the deed, then you just continue doing the deed, eh? You betcha! And like I’ve said before the PM’s would get their due if we could muster up enough demand for physical Gold & Silver. It’s got to be physical, not ETF’s. Folks, those ETF’s are not Physical Gold. and you can’t get physical Gold out of them!The euro fell below its 200-day moving avg overnight (1.2830) to trade in the 1.27 handle. It’s not been a good year for the euro, as it spent the first 8 months of the year below the moving avg, and then things looked brighter, and the last two months it traded above the moving avg. This move lower could be the beginning of another period of euro weakness folks. I would watch carefully for that. for this is what normally happens when a currency recovers, and then can’t add to that recovery, it eventually goes for a ride on the slippery slope.Then There Was This. I have a good friend that goes back to my days at Mark Twain Bank. her name is Ellie, and she has an excellent mind for investments (and other things!) she has written a couple of books on investing through the years.. Well, when Ellie sees something that makes a lot of sense, she sends it to me.. As so it was on Saturday, when I received an email from Ellie. It was my friend John Mauldin’s outside the box article. Here’s a snippet from investment analyst guru, Charles Gave. “So the solution to our current malaise is very simple: We have to stop now. Reduce government spending, stop manipulating money, let market pricing return – or the result will be a vicious cycle of low growth and rising debt, or certain depression.The choice is just as simple for investors: Stick with countries that have avoided the worst of the bad policies, like Canada, Sweden, Denmark, Poland, Switzerland, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Hong Kong or even Korea. All of these countries either kept fiscal balances and taxes low (or started reducing them), and/or regulated their financial systems to prevent casino madness.Consider certain countries that are improving on the margin. This includes the UK. It also includes China, which is opening its capital account and liberalizing its financial system. “Chuck again. Thanks to Ellie for sending this to me, and thanks to Charles Gave for his thoughts on what needs to happen here in the U.S. and then some choices as alternatives should the U.S. continue down this vicious cycle.To recap. The bias to dollars that existed Friday, was given a boost as the Jobs Jamboree as reported by the BLS showed a rise of 171,000 jobs in October. I say hogwash! But it is what it is. The RBA meets tonight, and Chuck expects to see a rate cut tonight. The BOE and ECB also meet this week, with only more QE to be announced by the BOE. Greece presented a new austerity package to the Parliament for a vote Wednesday. And Gold gets taken down again.Currencies today 11/5/12. American Style: A$ $1.0360, kiwi .8240, C$ $1.0035, euro 1.2780, sterling 1.5980, Swiss $1.0590, . European Style: rand 8.7365, krone 5.7495, SEK 6.7060, forint 221.05, zloty 3.2265, koruna 19.7405, RUB 31.70, yen 80.25, sing 1.2255, HKD 7.75, INR 54.60, China 6.2447, pesos 13.06, BRL 2.0335, Dollar Index 80.83, Oil $84.87, 10-year 1.69%, Silver $31.07, and Gold. $1,682.40That’s it for today. Happy Birthday Rachel! Ugly steel gray days with raw temperatures, are back for us all to enjoy (NOT!) Typical November. My poor Missouri Tigers outplayed Florida throughout their game last Saturday, but managed to lose it anyway. UGH! Next up is Tennessee this week. Still no hockey. I got out my Blues baseball cap in hopes it will be good luck for a settlement! Fat chance, eh? Well. time to go. last day before the election. Like I said I’ll be glad to see it over with! Hopefully we won’t having any hanging chads or any other nonsense with voting fraud. I hope you have a Marvelous Monday!Chuck Butler President EverBank World Markets 1-800-926-4922 www.everbank.com
Fed Chair Says this is America’s #1 Threat [leaked in CA mtg] Imagine the secrets Fed chairwoman Janet Yellen is privy to: thwarted bank runs, interest rate spikes… the truth behind major swings in gold prices. So when she confessed America’s #1 risk at a private meeting in California, it’s no surprise word leaked out. She says this event could lead us into a “devastating spiral.” We at Casey Research believe it has already started. Click here for the full story. Recommended Links – — Companies are hiding more from you than you realize… Back in the late 90s, energy company Enron was a Wall Street darling. From 1998 to 2000, its stock surged 342%. It became America’s seventh biggest corporation…but the company was a farce. Management used shady accounting to inflate its sales and profits. When the fraud came to light, Enron’s stock plummeted. In 2001, it filed for bankruptcy. • In April, former Enron CEO Andy Fastow issued a serious warning… Fastow was one of the main actors in the Enron scandal. He spent six years in jail for his crimes. According to Fastow, many corporate executives are now doing what he did at Enron. He even accused tech giant Apple (AAPL) of misleading investors. Business Insider reported: His point – an entirely correct one – is that the world’s largest company today is engaged in tax dodging behavior that, while perhaps technically legal, is clearly designed to increase profits and inflate the stock by misleading and confusing regulators (and perhaps investors) via a massively complex web of entities – exactly what he did at Enron! And this is 100% routine, common behavior among most large US companies. Some people might find Fastow’s claim ridiculous. He is a convicted felon, after all. But Casey readers know better than to trust Corporate America. • Regulators have accused Valeant (VRX) and SunEdison (SUNE) of similar crimes… You’ve probably heard about the drug maker Valeant and the renewable energy company SunEdison. Their downfalls have been two of the year’s biggest investing stories. Like Enron, both companies were hot investments. From January 2013 to July 2015, Valeant gained 332%. SunEdison’s stock surged 892% over the same period. Like Enron, both companies used “creative accounting.” According to The Wall Street Journal, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is investigating whether “SunEdison misrepresented its cash position to investors as its stock collapsed.” Valeant is under investigation for its pricing and accounting practices. And like Enron, both stocks have crashed. SunEdison plunged 99% before it announced plans to file bankruptcy. Valeant’s stock has plummeted 89%. • The mainstream media paints Valeant and SunEdison as a couple “bad apples”… According to most reports, it’s rare for public companies to pull tricks on investors. But if you’ve been reading the Dispatch, you know that’s not true. For the past few months, we’ve been telling you about the huge surge in share buybacks. A share buyback is when a company buys its own stock from shareholders. Buybacks reduce the number of shares that trade on the market. This boosts a company’s earnings per share, which can lead to a higher stock price. But buybacks do not actually improve the business. They just make it look better “on paper.” According to research firm FactSet, 76% of the companies in the S&P 500 bought back their own shares between November and January. Most companies used debt to pay for these buybacks. The Wall Street Journal reported last week: The biggest 1,500 nonfinancial companies in the U.S. increased their net debt by $409 billion in the year to the end of March, according to Société Générale, using almost all—$388 billion—to buy their own shares, net of newly issued stock. Companies have become far and away the biggest customer for their own shares. • Companies are also using “financial engineering” to make their businesses appear healthier… Financial engineering is when companies use accounting tricks to goose their sales, profits, or cash on the balance sheet. It’s how Enron, Valeant, and SunEdison hid problems from investors. Many other companies are doing similar things… As you may know, U.S. corporations are required to report “GAAP” earnings per share. GAAP-based earnings comply with accepted accounting guidelines. A growing number of companies are also reporting “adjusted” earnings that do not comply with GAAP. Many companies use adjusted earnings to strip out “temporary” factors like the strong dollar or a warm winter. Management decides what to leave out and include when measuring adjusted earnings. • Two-thirds of the companies in the Dow Jones Industrial Average report adjusted earnings… In 2014, adjusted earnings were 12% better than GAAP earnings. Last year, they were 31% better. Companies say adjusted earnings give a more complete picture of their business. But it’s becoming obvious that companies are using non-GAAP earnings to hide weaknesses. As Dispatch readers know, the U.S. is in its weakest “recovery” since World War II. Europe, Japan, and China are all growing at their slowest pace in decades too. With the economy so weak, many companies have had to “get creative” to grow earnings. • Sales for companies in the S&P 500 have fallen four straight quarters… Earnings are on track to decline a fourth straight quarter. That hasn’t happened since the 2008-2009 financial crisis. These results would be even uglier if companies didn’t report adjusted earnings. You see, it’s much easier for companies to mask weak sales or profits when the economy is growing. When the economy slows, those problems become too big to hide. Right now, the global economy is clearly slowing. So expect to hear about more “Enrons” in the coming months. Regards, Justin Spittler Delray Beach, Florida May 10, 2016 We want to hear from you. If you have a question or comment, please send it to firstname.lastname@example.org. We read every email that comes in, and we’ll publish comments, questions, and answers that we think other readers will find useful. • The stock market is a dangerous place to put your money right now… If you’re going to invest in stocks, keep three important things in mind… You should avoid investing in businesses you don’t understand. Many hedge funds wish they had followed this advice with Valeant and SunEdison… Despite these companies’ complex and unclear business models, some of the largest hedge funds in the world invested in them. This earned Valeant and SunEdison the nickname “hedge fund hotels.” We also encourage you to avoid companies with a lot of debt. These firms will struggle to pay the bills as the economy worsens. Finally, we recommend you steer clear of companies that need buybacks to increase earnings. Buybacks can give stocks a temporary boost, but they’re no way to grow a business. In short, money spent on buybacks is money not spent on new machinery, equipment, or anything else that can help a company grow. It’s especially a poor use of cash when stocks are expensive…like they are today. • We encourage you to set aside cash and own physical gold… A cash reserve will help you avoid big losses during the next big selloff. It will also put you in a position to buy world-class businesses for cheap after the “rotten apples” are exposed. Physical gold is another proven way to defend your wealth. Gold has served as real money for centuries because it has a rare set of qualities: It’s durable, transportable, easily divisible, has intrinsic value, and is consistent across the world. It’s also protected wealth through the worst financial crises in history. Investors buy it when they’re nervous about stocks or the economy. This year, gold is up 22%. It’s at its highest level since January 2015. For other proven strategies to protect your money from a stock market crash, watch this short video. In it, you’ll learn how to fully “crisis proof” your wealth. Click here to view this free presentation. Chart of the Day The U.S. stock market is wobbling on one leg… Dispatch readers know buybacks have been a major driver of U.S. stocks. Since 2009, S&P 500 companies have shelled out more than $2 trillion on buybacks. As noted, buybacks can make earnings look better “on paper.” They can also prop up share prices. With the economy slowing and earnings in decline, buybacks have been one of the things keeping stocks afloat…but even that’s starting to give way. Today’s chart compares the performance of PowerShares Buyback Achievers Fund (PKW) this year versus the S&P 500. PKW tracks companies that bought back more than 5% of their shares over the past year. Holdings include McDonald’s (MCD), Lowes (LOWE), and Macy’s (M). From March 2009 to May 2015, PKW gained 314%. The S&P 500 rose 215% over the same period. Since then, PKW has fallen 10%. The S&P 500 is down 3%. Investors appear to be losing confidence in companies that buy a lot of their own stock. That’s a big problem for the stock market, which is showing major signs of weakness. Rickards: “Don’t Buy A Single Ounce Of Gold…” **This is an URGENT warning from Jim Rickards.** If you’ve seen the writing on the wall, like me, you know that gold could soon hit $10,000 per ounce. However, today I’m urging you NOT to buy a single ounce of gold till you read what I have to say. Click here for access to my urgent gold announcement.
Ministers on the Isle of Man are to scrap their version of the UK government’s much-criticised “fitness for work” test, prompting calls by disabled activists for the UK government to follow their lead.The decision, announced to members of Tynwald, the Isle of Man* parliament (pictured), follows years of criticism of the assessment on the island, mirroring concerns raised repeatedly and publicly in the UK.The statement by Treasury minister Alfred Cannan followed a report by Tynwald members into what is known on the island as the personal capability assessment (PCA), which is based on the UK’s work capability assessment (WCA).In the UK, there has been nearly a decade of evidence that the WCA is unsafe, inaccurate, unfair, and lacking in empathy, while it has been repeatedly linked with the deaths of claimants.In November 2015, public health experts from the Universities of Liverpool and Oxford showed in a study that, across England, the process of reassessing incapacity benefit claimants through the WCA between 2010 to 2013 was “associated with” an extra 590 suicides, 279,000 additional cases of self-reported mental health problems, and the prescribing of a further 725,000 anti-depressants.Concerns arose on the Isle of Man after a new scheme was introduced to reassess most of the island’s 2,000 long-term claimants of incapacity benefits through a face-to-face PCA, firstly through a pilot programme in 2012-13 carried out by Atos, the outsourcing giant which was itself being heavily criticised at the time for its role in the assessment process across the UK.The Isle of Man reassessment scheme was then taken on by another company, Dependability Ltd, which eventually had its contract terminated after it emerged that some of the assessments were not being carried out by registered healthcare professionals.Just as in the UK, there were criticisms of the “tick box” nature of the assessment process, the failure to deal fairly with claimants with fluctuating conditions such as ME and multiple sclerosis, and the use of unqualified and unsympathetic assessors.An independent review of the PCA, published in December 2016, reported “widespread” criticism, with concerns about the qualifications of assessors, and an “oversimplified” assessment which was unsuitable for those with more complex impairments.The review added: “Many people believed that they had been treated with a lack of respect and that the system lacked compassion.”It recommended the replacement of the PCA by a new “holistic multidisciplinary assessment” that would be “supportive” of the claimant and “based on trust and compassion underpinned by clear, open and honest communication”, with claimants “fully involved in developing a realistic return to work plan”.A report by a committee of members of Tynwald that supported the recommendations of the independent review was approved by the parliament last November.Cannan has now told the parliament that ministers are “minded to implement” the “complete removal of the existing personal capability assessment process” and replace it with a new “holistic approach”.Any decision to change the relevant regulations will need to be approved by members of Tynwald later this year.A spokesman for the Scottish-based, user-led grassroots network Black Triangle praised the Isle of Man government for taking the decision to scrap the PCA.He said: “We warmly congratulate them. They have done what any humane government would have done and it is now absolutely essential that the UK government follows suit.”A Department for Work and Pensions spokeswoman declined to comment on the Isle of Man government’s decision.But she said in a statement: “We are committed to ensuring that people with health conditions get the right support that they need, and work capability assessments ensure that everyone gets the benefits they are entitled to.“If a claimant’s condition changes then we will consider any new evidence presented by the claimant’s GP or medical professional.“Anyone who disagrees with the outcome of their assessment can appeal the decision.”*The Isle of Man is not part of the UK or European Union, but is a crown dependency with its own parliament and government, although under the supervision of the UK government
Add to Queue Bill Schulz Enroll Now for $5 Leadership Next Article LeBron James is known for a lot of things: four MVP titles, three finals MVPs, three finals championships and two Olympic gold medals. But inspirational quotes? “I’m taking my talents to South Beach,” or the more infamous Miami promise of championship rings, “not one, not two, not three” … not so much. But in the afterglow of Cleveland’s first championship win since 1964 (have we ever heard the words “Cleveland and “afterglow” in the same sentence before today?), Entrepreneur was able to corral past comments by The King that really do sing. On fulfilling promises“I came back [to Cleveland] for a reason. I came back to bring a championship to our city. I knew what I was capable of doing. I knew what I learned in the last couple years that I was gone, and when I came back, I knew I had the right ingredients and the right blueprint to help this franchise get back to a place that we’ve never been. That’s what it was all about.”Related: Muhammad Ali’s Greatest Quotes of All TimeOn wanting to host Saturday Night Live again”It’s a long week, man, people don’t understand how long that week is to go through, the process and things. And it’s very serious, too. Obviously, it’s funny, but it’s serious as you go. … But I had an unbelievable time.” On that historic, down-three-games-to-one championship win“I was calm. I was focused. I was locked in. Once we got to a game seven, I was just confident. I knew what I was capable of doing. I knew my guys would allow me to lead them throughout the 48 minutes, and they did that.” Related: Leadership Lessons from Sport LegendsOn Cleveland’s long suffering past“Our fans, they ride or die, no matter what’s been going on, no matter the Browns, the Indians, the Cavs and so on, and all other sports teams. They continue to support us. And for us to be able to end this, end this drought, our fans deserve it. And it was for them.”A PSA for the kids at home“Throughout my 13-year career, I’ve done nothing but be true to the game, give everything I’ve got to the game, put my heart, my blood, sweat, tears into the game, and people still want to doubt what I’m capable of doing. So that was a little icing on the cake for myself to just let me know that everything I’ve done, it results in this. They say hard work pays off, and that’s what happened tonight.”Related: 25 Quotes from 25 Legendary CEOsOn his comic book persona“I don’t know how tall I am or how much I weigh. Because I don’t want anybody to know my identity. I’m like a superhero. Call me Basketball Man.” On being the most humble man in the universe“I hear my friends and my mom tell me I’m special, but honestly, I still don’t get it.” To the NBA on TNT’s question on whether he should shave his head and put an end to his ever-changing hairline”Absolutely not. [That’s] for Shaq [O’Neil], Kenny [Smith] and Charles [Barkley]. Look at those three baldhead stooges in the studio.”On Wednesday’s upcoming parade“It’s going to be the biggest party that Cleveland has ever seen ever.” Image credit: Thearon W. Henderson I Getty Images Opinions expressed by Entrepreneur contributors are their own. Contributor 4 min read LeBron James’ Greatest Quotes Fireside Chat | July 25: Three Surprising Ways to Build Your Brand Learn from renowned serial entrepreneur David Meltzer how to find your frequency in order to stand out from your competitors and build a brand that is authentic, lasting and impactful. –shares Guest Writer June 20, 2016
Ashley Madison wants its users back.Sure, there was an embarrassing data breach last year. Sure, it wreaked embarrassment and devastation across its own user base. And sure there was the little matter of men paying subscription fees to talk with what turned out to be chat bots due to a startlingly low number of women users on the site. But that’s all water under the bridge. They’ve changed — transformed, even. And like any cheater worth his or her salt, the site is looking for a second chance.So it’s out with the old slogan — “life is short, have an affair” — and in with a new, risqué ad campaign.Is Ashley Madison’s new ad about hooking up at a hotel enough to restore people’s trust? https://t.co/4syldGRVgN— Entrepreneur (@Entrepreneur) July 12, 2016Related: Hackers Release the Personal Information of Adultery Seekers Who Joined Ashley MadisonIn one, a work-weary woman with a ho-hum other half ships off to a conference — only to bump into an interesting stranger.In another, a clock watcher with a terrible apartment and a worse shirt finds a rare ray of sunlight — a woman who smiles at him in the subway.And, in a third, a couple who seem polite, not passionate, meet an intriguing woman at a party.At the end of each of these inaugural ads for TV, Ashley Madison compels viewers to “Find Your Moment.” As before, cheating is a form of exploration. A sort of adventure. Don’t you want to seize the day? Ashley Madison certainly hopes so. The 47 million-member extramarital affair online hub took a deep, dark hit to its already controversial brand during last year’s hack and it’s still reeling from the damage. Key to its rebound isn’t just demand for affairs — but building back trust with users.Related: Court Rules FTC Can Come After Your Company After a Cyber AttackCuriously, Ashley Madison’s own ads remind users that cheaters don’t often need much help cheating. Every character in the company’s own ads finds new romantic friends in the usual spots — at hotels, parties and out and about. These folks don’t need the help of a digital platform that exposed millions of users, from pastors to government employees to low-level celebs. They did it on their own. DIY-style.Ashley Madison is hoping you won’t make that observation — and that its users can forget the past. So, what do you think? Will its seamy new TV spots be enough to restore trust in a platform built on breaking trust? (Or will it merely make you look a little closer at your spouse’s collar when he or she returns home from a business trip?) Do tell us via the Twitter poll above. Cheating Site Ashley Madison Is Back With an Ad Campaign We Don’t Understand Former West Coast Editor Next Article Image credit: Ashley Madison Online Dating July 14, 2016 Kim Lachance Shandrow 3 min read Add to Queue 80shares
Reviewed by James Ives, M.Psych. (Editor)Nov 14 2018To understand cardiovascular failures, the leading cause of birth defect-related deaths in infants, UH professor of biomedical engineering Kirill Larin is teaming up with Baylor College of Medicine professor of cellular and molecular physiology Irina Larina on a chicken and egg hunt.”When the heart develops, it becomes stiffer as required for ability to contract and pump blood,” said Larin. “So the question is – does it become stiff because it’s contracting, or is it stiff to begin with because it is genetically predefined?”Surprisingly, very little is known about an embryo’s developing heart.”Defining how these mechanical factors integrate with genetic pathways and heart function is critically important for understanding congenital heart defects and heart failure,” said Larin. Such information is required to develop new strategies for therapeutic interventions of heart defects.Related StoriesCancer incidence among children and young adults with congenital heart diseaseRNA-binding protein SRSF3 appears to be key factor for proper heart contraction, survivalSmoking triples the risk of death from cardiovascular diseaseWhile multiple studies suggest that cardiac contraction, blood flow and stiffness each influence cardiovascular development of the heart, their individual roles remain unknown. The team’s project, defining the roles of cardiac contraction and flow-induced shear stress in regulating mechanical stiffness, is part of a $3 million grant from the National Institutes of Health.It is well established that biomechanical stimuli are important regulators of proper cardiovascular development. The research team will get a bird’s eye view, watching the heart develop in utero using optical coherence tomography (OCT), a noninvasive high-resolution retina imaging technology that uses light waves to take cross-section pictures. Larin is a pioneer of using OCT to image portions of the body without touching or making a cut. He describes the method as “frontier technology,” and is using it in his other work to assess if heart medicine is working and scar tissue is healing immediately following a heart attack.Larin is developing the data processing methods and the imaging tools which will deliver 3D images and will be “super-fast to catch the cardiac cycle and all the activity as the heart forms,” he said.”One out of every 100 babies in the United States has a congenital heart defect leading to death,” said Larina. “Understanding biomechanical regulation of heart development is highly important for better management of congenital heart defects.”The project fills a significant gap in the field of early mammalian cardiac development and defines the role of cardiac forces in maintaining mechanical stiffness and cell differentiation.Source: http://www.uh.edu/news-events/stories/2018/november-2018/111318-heart-defects-oct-larin.php
© 2018 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. Crash marks first death involving fully autonomous vehicle The deadly collision between an Uber autonomous vehicle and a pedestrian near Phoenix is bringing calls for tougher self-driving regulations. But advocates for a hands-off approach say big changes aren’t needed. Police in Tempe, Arizona, say the female pedestrian walked in front of the Uber SUV Sunday night. Neither the automated system nor the human backup driver stopped in time. Local authorities haven’t determined fault.Current federal regulations have few requirements specifically for self-driving vehicles, leaving it for states to handle. Many, such as Arizona, Nevada and Michigan, cede key decisions to companies.Many federal and state officials say their regulations are sufficient to keep people safe while allowing the potentially life-saving technology to grow. Citation: Arizona death brings calls for more autonomous vehicle rules (2018, March 20) retrieved 18 July 2019 from https://phys.org/news/2018-03-arizona-death-autonomous-vehicle.html A vehicle goes by the scene of Sunday’s fatality where a pedestrian was stuck by an Uber vehicle in autonomous mode, in Tempe, Ariz., Monday, March 19, 2018. A self-driving Uber SUV struck and killed the woman in suburban Phoenix in the first death involving a fully autonomous test vehicle. (AP Photo/Chris Carlson) Explore further This document is subject to copyright. Apart from any fair dealing for the purpose of private study or research, no part may be reproduced without the written permission. The content is provided for information purposes only.